Tuesday, April 22, 2008

Clinton wins ... Pennsylvania

  • Clinton drew her usual strong support among senior citizens and white women, and narrowly won the votes of white men.
  • She even was competitive with Obama among whites under 30 years old, a group that has favored Obama in many states.
  • Obama won the support of black voters and college graduates of all races. A quarter of Obama's supporters were black, and half had college degrees.
  • Three in 10 Pennsylvania Democratic voters were union members or had one in their household, and they favored Clinton over Obama.
  • White voters who said race was a factor supported Clinton over Obama by 3-to-1, while whites who said race wasn't a factor divided between Clinton and Obama more evenly.
  • Those who said gender was a factor actually tended to favor Clinton, while Obama did better among those who said gender was not a factor.

And here's where it bodes very well, if there's no self-immolation of the party before the convention:

Pennsylvania Democrats had a sour view of the economy — four in 10 said the country is in a serious recession and at least as many called it a moderate recession. Only about one in 10 said the economy is not in recession. Clinton did a little better than Obama on who would improve the country's economy, but nearly half of Pennsylvania Democrats thought both candidates would make a contribution to solving the country's economic problems.

from AP analysis of exit polls

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